The 2025 PGA Championship goes from Quail Hollow Club with the major beginning on Thursday, May 15. Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite in the PGA Championship odds at Sportsbook. Some of the Odds Shark staff have provided their favorite picks and predictions for the second major of the year.
But first, check out our full PGA Championship breakdown where SI's Iain MacMillan ed Andrew Avery on The Huddle. Iain is targeting Taylor Pendrith as his longshot play.
David's PGA Championship Picks
Rory McIlroy to Win (+450) at Sportsbook
Really, there’s no need to overthink this one. We expect McIlroy to play free and easy on a big-hitter’s layout, with all the major championship pressure left behind.
Beyond that, he’s having an awesome 2025 season—McIlroy ranks second on the PGA Tour in scoring, third in driving distance, and he’s won a major, The Players, and a Signature Event. Then there’s his track record at Quail Hollow, where according to Golf Digest he has a scoring average of 69.48 and is 55 strokes further under par than anybody else.
Scottie Scheffler Top-5 Finish (-120) at Sportsbook
Not the best value, but it’s tough to leave out the world’s No. 1 player given how consistently well Scheffler plays in major championships. He’s been T2 and T8 in his last two PGA Championships, the latter of those despite getting arrested in that brouhaha outside the gates of Valhalla.
The rub this week is that Scheffler has never played Quail Hollow outside of his appearance in the 2022 Presidents Cup, where he went 0-3-1. But a guy with an excellent majors track record, who leads the PGA Tour in scoring and shots gained, remains difficult to ignore.
Bryson DeChambeau Top-10 Finish (-120) at Sportsbook
Quail Hollow is a big-boy golf course—so why not go with the biggest bomber of them all. DeChambeau is having a very nice spring, going second and first in his past two LIV events, and more importantly finishing T5 at The Masters. Of all the elite LIV players, DeChambeau is the one who seems to elevate his game most often in the majors.
This current run is pretty impressive: T6 at the 2024 Masters, solo second at last year’s PGA, winner of the U.S. Open, T5 at Augusta. DeChambeau even has two top-10s at Quail Hollow from his PGA Tour days.
Andrew's pGA Championship Pick
Rasmus Hojgaard Top-20 Finish (+400) at Sportsbook
If you’re gonna contend at Quail Hollow, you’ve gotta be able to go long with the disco stick. As one half of the Danish Hojgaard twins, Rasmus is the bigger driver and better putter and I think he’s a very good fit in Charlotte.
His Achilles Heel is his accuracy off the tee, but if he can keep the ball in front him, reach some of those gettable par-4’s and knock down his putts, it could be a good weekend for the Dane.
It’s a stacked field, of course, but I’ll back Rasmus for a top-20 finish.
Scott's PGA Championship Picks
Rory McIlroy to Win (+450) at Sportsbook
Allow me to take my victory lap as being the only member of team Odds Shark with the fortitude to back Rory in our Masters picks. Perhaps, at +650, that didn't make up for the decade betting on him prior to that victory but we don't need to go there.
I want the story of Rory getting a grand slam in 2025! He's looked great all year, winning the Players, winning the Masters and a win at Pebble Beach. Add in the fact that McIlroy has four career wins at Quail Hollow already -- me in rooting for the year of Rory!
Bryson DeChambeau Top-5 Finish (+175) at Sportsbook
Last four tournaments for Bryson, fifth in Miami, T5 at the Masters, T2 in Mexico City and a win in Korea about 10 days ago. In four starts at Quail Hollow, he has an MC, T33, fourth and T9. At a course that's known to favor the big stick, we know Bryson will be in contention. All he needs to do is tighten up that short game and continue knocking down putts to be chasing Rory on Sunday.
Jason Day Top-10 Finish (+490) at Sportsbook
Jason Day has had a fairly strong 2025 thus far with a T8 at the Masters, T8 at the Arnold Palmer, T13 at Pebble Beach and T3 at The American Express. He also had a strong finish in Paris last summer as well as a T13 in The Open.
Further, in last year's trip to Quail Hollow, the Australian secured a T4 finish, breaking the streak of back-to-back missed cuts. Including that T4 in 2024, Day has four top-10 finishes at this course and picked up the win in 2018. It has been two years since the former No. 1 picked up a win, and I'm not suggesting that this weekend, but don't be surprised if he's within arms reach on Sunday.
Steve's PGA Championship Pick
Ludvig Aberg top-20 Finish (+105) at Sportsbook
He's a bomber and that's what it takes to win at Quail Hollow. His approach game is also on point. He's sixth in approach from >200 yards (which will matter at this long course) and he's 13th on approach from >100 yards. He just shows up in majors so a little sprinkle for him to win at +2400 may be in order.
PGA Championship Betting Tips
Outside of McIlroy and Scheffler, there’s one other PGA Tour regular to really keep an eye on this week: Thomas, who won the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow and has finished first and second in his past two starts, both Signature events. Thomas is hardly the biggest stick on tour, ranking 51st in driving distance, but he made up for that in 2017 with great putting and play around the greens. But this week will demand a step up, given that Thomas has excelled on shorter, shot-makers’ layouts his past two times out.
And then there are the LIV guys, who present a conundrum for sports bettors every major championship. Outside of DeChambeau, none of them have been able to consistently challenge in majors. And yet this week it might still be worth watching Brooks Koepka, who owns three Quail Hollow wins from his PGA Tour days, and finished in the top 10 there on three other occasions. But Koepka hasn’t finished better than T17 in a major since winning the 2023 PGA, missing the cut at Augusta in April.
Another LIV player, Patrick Reed, finished T2 in the 2017 PGA at Quail Hollow and finished solo third at this year’s Masters. Tommy Fleetwood continues to seem on the verge of a U.S. breakthrough, going solo seventh and T4 his past two times out—but at 132nd in driving distance, this week might prove a tough lift. And don’t overlook defending champion Xander Schauffele, who’s overcome an early-season rib injury to finish T18 or better in each of his last four starts, including T8 at Augusta.
