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NHL Computer Picks - Free Hockey Betting Predictions

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Oilers/Stars SGP +475
NHL | EDM @ DAL 8:00 PM ET
+475
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Expert PickScott Hastings
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2398299
Wednesday, May 21
8:00 PM ET
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Edmonton VS Dallas
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
EDM 4.6 +110
DAL 1.6 -130
Spread Pick
+1.5 -235
-1.5 +195
Total Pick
U 6 -105
O 6 -115
Oilers/Stars SGP +475
+475

A rematch from the 2024 Western Conference Final begins on Wednesday with the Oilers skating in Dallas against the Stars. Sportsbook has a Banger SGP on this game with odds of +475, here are the legs:

  • Oilers ML
  • OVER 6.5 Goals
  • OVER 1.5 points Connor McDavid

When these two teams met in last year's playoffs, Edmonton won the series in six games, punching its ticket to the Stanley Cup Final. The Oilers won two of the three games in Dallas and have three extra days of rest heading into Game 1.

Two explosive offenses make an OVER bet ripe for the taking. Edmonton and Dallas have gone OVER in seven of their last 10 regular season, though, only two of the six games of last year's series went OVER. However, with 16 goals over their last two meetings I'm expecting a high-flying Game 1.

And IF we are to have a high-flying Game 1 with the Oilers winning then surely No. 97, Connor McDavid, is going to be at the forefront. Last year's Conn Smythe winner leads Edmonton with 17 points in 11 playoff games, including five multi-point games. McDavid was held pointless in the last game on Wednesday and when that happens, he has had a multi-point performance in six of the 13 times this season.

Expert Pick: Scott Hastings
  • Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
  • Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Dallas.
  • Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas.
  • Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 8 games against an opponent in the Central Division division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.
  • Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
  • Dallas is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas' last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas' last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
  • Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.
Thursday, May 22
8:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Florida VS Carolina
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
FLA - +110
CAR - -130
Spread Pick
+1.5 -240
-1.5 +200
Total Pick
U 5.5 -115
O 5.5 -105
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida's last 11 games.
  • Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
  • Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games against Carolina.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games when playing on the road against Carolina.
  • Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games.
  • Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Carolina's last 15 games against Florida.
  • Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Florida.
  • Carolina is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
Computer Picks Results - Last 100 Games
Last 100 To Win Moneyline Total O/U
$ Units (Opening) $438 $405 $1425
$ Units (Closing) -$97 -$1613 $1742
Record (Opening) 58 - 42 45 - 39 - 16 63 - 32 - 5
Record (Closing) 58 - 42 49 - 51 58 - 36 - 6

 

We've combined statistical analysis and machine learning to make these computer picks. The table above shows you how the computer has done in its last 100 picks against the moneyline, spread (puckline), and the total with $100 units. 

Seeing where the computer has had success (or has failed) can give you some insight into where the betting value might lie going forward.

How to Use the NHL Computer Picks Table

Use our computer picks as the starting point in your handicapping journey. Our computer analyzes every stat in our database and chooses the bet that has the most likely outcome. Now use our other tools to do your own research and see if that research agrees or disagrees with the computer.

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Moneyline

An NHL moneyline bet is simple – all you need to do is pick a winner. Whether that’s in regulation or overtime, they don't ask how but how many, right?

Team Moneyline Odds
Edmonton Oilers -130
Florida Panthers +110


As with all moneyline odds, the team with the minus (-) is the favorite, while the side with the plus (+) is the underdog.

Betting $100 on Edmonton at -130 would net you $176 in winnings (if they win the game), $76 of profit plus your initial $100 wager. Conversely, if you bet on Florida and they win you get $210 -- $110 in profit plus your initial $100 bet.

Spread (Puckline)

The NBA, the NHL spread doesn't typically change from 1.5 for each side. The spread is designed to make betting on the favorite more enticing. 

Team Moneyline Odds Puckline Odds
Edmonton Oilers -130 -1.5 (-110)
Florida Panthers +110 +1.5 (-180)


The favorite (Edmonton at -1.5) would need to win by at least two goals for the bet to cash. If Edmonton wins by two or more goals - in other words "covers the bet" - you'd get $191 in winnings instead of $176 by taking them on the moneyline.

There are two ways for the underdog (Florida at +1.5) to "cover" a +1.5 puckline bet. They can lose by a single goal or win outright to cash! The odds are shorter but you've got options on this bet. 

Totals (OVER/UNDER)

With a total bet, you're wagering on the total number of goals scored by both teams. You aren't backing any single side to win.

Team Total Odds
Edmonton Oilers O5.5 (-115)
Florida Panthers U5.5 (-105)

 

Sportsbooks will set a line for the game, in this case, it's 5.5 goals. Your job is to figure out if Edmonton and Florida will score more or less than 5.5 goals (not counting the shootout).

If you see a line that's an even number, like 6.0, those bets can end in a push where your wager is refunded if the game ends at exactly six goals.

More NHL Picks & Betting Tools

You know what the moneyline, spread (puckline) and total bets are, you're ready to start betting on NHL hockey. But before you just start placing bets with your gut, make sure to check out our betting tools and betting guides.

They can guide you with more than just moneyline, spread and total bets but they can help you find value in the props markets as well. 

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