NBA Finals Odds: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
NBA

2025 NBA Finals Odds: Thunder Favored In Conference Finals

We are in the midst of the Conference Finals of playoffs and it is the Oklahoma City Thunder that are favored in the 2025 NBA Finals odds at Sportsbook.

2025 NBA Finals odds

Odds To Win NBA - Championship 2025
Teams Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder -230
Indiana Pacers +500
New York Knicks +750
Minnesota Timberwolves +1000

Odds as of May 21st, 2025 23:49pm EDT.

2025 NBA Finals Odds favorite: Oklahoma City Thunder 

According to our series price page, Oklahoma City is a sizeable favorite to advance to the 2025 NBA Finals by defeating the Minnesota Timberwolves in the Western Conference finals. 

No team that finished the regular season with the best overall record, which the Thunder did in 2024-25 at 68-14, has gone on to hoist the Larry O'Brien trophy since the 2016-17 Golden State Warriors. Oklahoma City dominated the West to the tune of a 16-game lead over the rest of the pack, but did need seven games to knock off the 2023 champions in the Denver Nuggets who were banged up and fatigued coming off a prior seven-game series with the Los Angeles Clippers. 

Even with the No. 1-ranked defense in all of basketball at their disposal, the Thunder's inexperience this deep into the postseason with their current core could ultimately come back to bite them. Then again, of the four teams left standing, none have the depth or top-level talent that OKC does, and that could be enough to push it over the top.

2025 Exact NBA Finals Result Odds

Finals Result Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder over Indiana Pacers +120
Oklahoma City Thunder over New York Knicks +230
Indiana Pacers over Oklahoma City Thunder +700
New York Knicks over Oklahoma City Thunder +1000
Minnesota Timberwolves over Indiana Pacers +1600
Indiana Pacers over Minnesota Timberwolves +1700
New York Knicks ovs Minnesota Timberwolves +2400
Minnesota Timberwolves over New York Knicks +2500

Odds as of May 22 at Sportsbook

NBA Finals Betting Handle & Data

Our friends over at BetMGM have provided us with their betting handles for the NBA Finals. The largest line movement from the opening line last year has been the Thunder which began the season with +950 odds and are now favored at +100.

Most Bet Teams (Total Bets)

  • Los Angeles Lakers (13.3%)
  • Boston Celtics (12.8%)
  • Denver Nuggets (11.3%)

Most Bet Teams (Total Money)

  • Oklahoma City Thunder (21.5%)
  • Boston Celtics (15.9%)
  • Los Angeles Lakers (12.0%)

Biggest Liabilities

  • Los Angeles Lakers
  • Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Golden State Warriors

NBA Finals Betting Strategy

Much of what formulates odds for NBA title contenders obviously stems from regular-season success. However, once the postseason comes and goes, how far a team advances can greatly impact the championship odds heading into next year before free agency and the draft gets underway.

What Impacts NBA Finals Odds?

  • Winning and losing streaks
  • Injuries to key players
  • Seeding in the standings
  • Win-loss records against specific opponents
  • Postseason success

How To Bet On NBA Futures

An NBA futures bet tends to revolve around the outcomes of both the regular season and playoffs as opposed to specific games the day of.

Here are some examples of some of the more popular futures bets:

Last 10 NBA Finals Winners

NBA Champions (2014-2024)
Year Winning Team Preseason Odds To Win Title Opponent In Finals Series
2024 Boston Celtics +350 Dallas Mavericks 4-1
2023 Denver Nuggets +1800 Miami Heat 4-1
2022 Golden State Warriors +900 Boston Celtics 4-2
2021 Milwaukee Bucks +550 Phoenix Suns 4-2
2020 Los Angeles Lakers +450 Miami Heat 4-2
2019 Toronto Raptors +1850 Golden State Warriors 4-2
2018 Golden State Warriors -187 Cleveland Cavaliers 4-0
2017 Golden State Warriors -128 Cleveland Cavaliers 4-1
2016 Cleveland Cavaliers +280 Golden State Warriors 4-3
2015 Golden State Warriors +2800 Cleveland Cavaliers 4-2

The Celtics' win in 2024 marked the sixth-different champion in as many years, a feat which hadn't been accomplished by the league since 1975-80.

The last team to win consecutive championships was the Golden State Warriors in 2017 and 2018. That capped off a 10-year run in which only five different teams (Warriors, Lakers, Mavericks, Cavaliers, and Spurs) won a title.

NBA Teams With The Most Championships

Team NBA Titles NBA Finals Appearances Most Recent NBA Title
Boston Celtics 18 23 2024
Los Angeles Lakers 17 32 2020
Golden State Warriors 7 12 2022
Chicago Bulls 6 6 1998
San Antonio Spurs 5 6 2014
Philadelphia 76ers 3 9 1983
Detroit Pistons 3 7 2004
Miami Heat 3 6 2013
New York Knicks 2 8 1973
Milwaukee Bucks 2 3 2021

Boston's 2024 win moved it past the Los Angeles Lakers for the most championship wins by a single franchise in league history. 

The Bulls are the most efficient, sweeping six titles during the 1990s, and the Warriors have the most recent title wins, with four in the last ten years.

NBA Teams That Have Never Appeared In A Finals

Team Number Of Seasons Furthest Finish
Los Angeles Clippers 49 Western Conference Final (2021)
Charlotte Hornets/Bobcats 30 Eastern Conference Semifinals (1993, 1998, 2001, 2002)
Minnesota Timberwolves 29 Western Conference Final (2004)
Vancouver/Memphis Grizzlies 23 Western Conference Final (2013)
New Orleans Hornets/Pelicans 17 Western Conference Semifinals (2008, 2018)

What a sad, sad list of teams. If you’re a fan of these squads, apologies in advance — your team (probably) isn’t breaking the curse this year. Never say never though! The Clippers and Pelicans have made exciting runs recently, we’re all rooting for them to make it eventually.

NBA Finals Odds Trends

  • Four of the last six NBA Finals have been decided in six games.
  • In the last 21 years, the Western Conference is 12-9 in NBA Finals.
  • Also over the past 21 years, the No. 1 seed has won the championship 13 times. Those are solid odds.
  • The lowest-seeded team to win the NBA Finals in recent history was the sixth-seed 1995 Houston Rockets.
  • Since 2010, the top team in the regular season has won the championship five times.
California

Today's NBA Promos

Please check back for promotions to be added for events.

Back to Top