Valentina Shevchenko is a +114 underdog at Sportsbook as she puts her UFC women's flyweight belt on the line at UFC 315 vs challenger Manon Fiorot (-134 favorite).
This Shevchenko vs Fiorot battle goes down as the co-main event on May 10 in Montreal, Quebec. Fiorot has long been promised as a future 125-pound champion, and her slight chalk status speaks to how the books view her heading into this one.
I have more UFC 315 content here including the welterweight title fight between UFC 315 parlay picks.
Shevchenko vs Fiorot Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | +114 |
| Manon Fiorot | -134 |
Odds as of May 10 at Sportsbook
How To Bet Shevchenko
Widely regarded as the GOAT of women's flyweight and the second-most accomplished female fighter in UFC history, Shevchenko may not have dominated Alexa Grasso in their UFC 306 trilogy fight, but she demonstrated plenty of grit to show she's not "washed," as the kids say. "Bullet" used a good mix of wrestling and striking to overwhelm Grasso in that successful, albeit unspectacular, victory.
Now, at UFC 315, she gets Fiorot, who is a very similar fighter to Valentina in my eyes. Both are very strong and relatively difficult to take down. Shevchenko's Muay Thai background and fight IQ give her an edge in striking accuracy and tactical execution, which will decide the fight. Her experience in five-round title fights could be pivotal against Fiorot, who is entering her first championship bout. Fiorot has five-round experience, but the weight of a title bout is something different.
Fiorot's sig. striking accuracy sits at 41% heading into this fight, while Valentina is at 52%. Manon throws more volume, while Valentina picks precision. Valentina's timing with strikes and takedowns will give her a big edge.
I'll gladly take her ML at +114.
How To Bet Fiorot
"The Beast" Fiorot enters UFC 315 as a formidable contender, boasting a perfect 7-0 record in the UFC. Her recent unanimous decision victories over top-tier opponents like Erin Blanchfield and Rose Namajunas highlight her technical prowess and endurance.
Fiorot's fighting style is rooted in her karate background, emphasizing precise striking and effective movement. Her ability to control distance and pace has been instrumental in her ascent within the division, and that's where I hit a wall in betting logic.
Fiorot is powerful, but we've yet to see that pop materialize against top-tier competition. It'll be tough to outlast Shevchenko in a point-fight, especially with Valentina's more diverse weapons.
I guess Fiorot ML is your play here. I won't be betting her as a favorite at UFC 315.
Shevchenko vs Fiorot Betting Pick
Shevchenko's precision striking, fight IQ, and championship experience make her a strong pick at +114, especially against Fiorot, who lacks proven finishing power at the highest level. Any OVER rounds bet will likely fetch some coin, as the chances of a finish are slim.
