Khamzat Chimaev is a -190 favorite over reigning middleweight champion Dricus Du Plessis (+165) in the UFC 319 main event on August 16 in Chicago.
This title bout pits Du Plessis against Chimaev, who is undefeated in MMA and has long been on a title crash course since his promotional debut in 2020.
The Chimaev vs Du Plessis odds are fair, as Chimaev's legendary first-round grappling pace often crushes his opponents.
Du Plessis vs Chimaev Odds - UFC 319
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Khamzat Chimaev | -190 |
| Dricus Du Plessis | +165 |
Odds as of May 14
How To Bet Chimaev
Chimaev is a machine. The guy comes out of the gate with incredible pressure, mixing in relentless wrestling and heavy hands. His first-round submission win over Robert Whittaker at UFC 308 showed exactly how dangerous he is. He didn’t just beat a former champ; he completely dominated him.
If you’re leaning toward Chimaev, betting on him to win inside the distance makes sense. Most of his fights end early, whether through a slick submission or ground-and-pound. He’s all about finishing fights quickly and decisively.
The big question is whether Chimaev can maintain his pace if the fight goes long. Du Plessis is not the kind of opponent who folds easily. However, if you believe Chimaev’s finishing ability will overwhelm DDP, backing him to win inside the distance is a solid play.
How To Bet Du Plessis
Du Plessis is one of the most durable fighters in the division and has made a career out of proving people wrong. He’s tough, well-rounded, and has the stamina to push through longer fights, which is something Chimaev hasn’t had to deal with often.
Du Plessis is effective because he doesn’t rely on one strength. He has strong grappling, heavy hands, and the ability to survive tough positions. If anyone can weather Chimaev’s early pressure and drag him into later rounds, it’s DDP.
If you’re backing Du Plessis, the moneyline at +165 is a great option. For a higher payout, consider betting on him by decision. He has the tools and conditioning to outlast and outperform Chimaev in a drawn-out fight.
Du Plessis vs Chimaev Betting Pick - UFC 319
Plessis is incredibly durable, well-rounded, and has the stamina to handle Chimaev’s early aggression, making him a strong underdog pick. At +165, DDP’s ability to withstand pressure and thrive in longer fights offers solid value. I like the value, and I'm happy to fade Chimaev in a very unpredictable fight.
