It’s April 17, and I’m locking in an MLB same-game parlay for today’s Mets vs. Cardinals matchup at Citi Field, with first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET. This three-leg play combines a NRFI, a Juan Soto total bases prop, and a strikeout UNDER for Griffin Canning. Let’s break it down.
Cardinals vs Mets Same-Game Parlay Today
Cardinals vs Mets – Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| NRFI | -115 |
| Juan Soto OVER 0.5 Total Bases | -185 |
| Griffin Canning OVER 4.5 Strikeouts | -122 |
| Overall | +424 |
Odds from Sportsbook
Cardinals vs Mets Parlay Pick No. 1: NRFI (-115)
We’re revisiting the NRFI angle in this matchup.
Griffin Canning has been reliable in the first inning, posting a 3-0 NRFI record to start the season. The Cardinals have struggled offensively in the first inning, batting just .203. On the other side, Andre Pallante has held active Mets hitters to a .316 slugging percentage and a .694 OPS. With both pitchers showing early-inning prowess and the Cardinals' bats being cold to start games, this NRFI at -115 offers solid value.
Cardinals vs Mets Parlay Pick No. 2: Soto OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-185)
Yes, Soto’s start has been underwhelming. Yes, the MLB world is all over him right now. But he’s still Juan Soto, a killer in the box with elite zone control and bat-to-ball skills. Getting a single hit is all we need here, and that feels like a wise addition to the parlay against a middling Cardinals pitching staff.
He’s been good in this matchup before: 3-0 on the OVER in his last three career games vs. St. Louis. At -185, I’ll take my chances with a bounce-back from one of the league’s most talented bats.
Cardinals vs Mets Parlay Pick No. 3: Canning UNDER 4.5 Ks (-122)
This is the move. The Cardinals' lineup is sharp right now, and they’re not striking out much with the ninth-lowest K-rate in the league. Nolan Arenado, who’s made a name feasting on left-handed pitching, is dialed in and crushing baseballs. Canning has only hit this OVER once in three starts, and that was against a weaker opponent.
He might be decent in the first inning, but he doesn’t profile as a high-strikeout guy against a -heavy lineup like this. St. Louis is seeing the ball well, and Canning is more likely to be pitching to than racking up Ks.
